Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 4:51 pmCan someone tell me the odds of things like, losing a 5 on 1, winning a 3 on 4 succeeded by a 2 on 1, or maybe how I can figure them out? Just curious.
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Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
http://rzmhprwww.conquerclub.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=51103
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Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 4:51 pmRe: Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 4:52 pmI use this
Re: Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 9:50 pmthe odds, you better have luck on your side!
Re: Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 10:01 pmelmerfudd wrote:the odds, you better have luck on your side!
One of the best ways to be "lucky" is to have probability on your side
Re: Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 10:39 pmMoved to Q & A
Re: Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 3:15 amSometimes you just have to "go for it" on luck and gut instinct. That and exactly how important it is that you actually conquer the territory in question is the biggest factor. The dice are full of surprises and often defy the odds, sometimes good and sometimes not. Because the dice are "random" even having the odds in your favor doesn't guarantee a successful attack.
5v1... your odds are very good, but if you lose 2 rolls to start
it's a lot tougher decision to continue with the lesser odds of
3v1... but at least they are in your favor for one more try.
3v4... obviously not so hot. Lose a pair to start and you're done,
but if you take two on the first roll your odds still are less than
50/50... because the defender wins the ties.
2v1... less than 50% for the reason stated above. But if you really
need it bad or you have good forts on the map and losing 1 more
doesn't hurt much, take a shot.
I'm sure everyone has had turns where they never lost a single army, but lacked the numbers to inflict a lot of damage and other times had BIG numbers and got totally buggered by the dice. So no calculations of the odds is going to predict with any certainty what will happen once you start your attack.
5v1... your odds are very good, but if you lose 2 rolls to start
it's a lot tougher decision to continue with the lesser odds of
3v1... but at least they are in your favor for one more try.
3v4... obviously not so hot. Lose a pair to start and you're done,
but if you take two on the first roll your odds still are less than
50/50... because the defender wins the ties.
2v1... less than 50% for the reason stated above. But if you really
need it bad or you have good forts on the map and losing 1 more
doesn't hurt much, take a shot.
I'm sure everyone has had turns where they never lost a single army, but lacked the numbers to inflict a lot of damage and other times had BIG numbers and got totally buggered by the dice. So no calculations of the odds is going to predict with any certainty what will happen once you start your attack.
Re: Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 3:42 pmThanks for the input oVo, but I wasn't asking for a lesson lol. Was just wondering how exactly to calculate the odds.
Re: Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Wed May 14, 2008 4:19 amParadiceCity9 wrote:Thanks for the input oVo, but I wasn't asking for a lesson lol. Was just wondering how exactly to calculate the odds.
get the dice deal that shows you what you roll in certain situations...-0
p.s.-it is so rarely discussed, i have forgotten it's proper name...
Re: Dice Odds *Not a Complaint*
Posted: Wed May 14, 2008 9:24 pmWhat I meant to say is... go with your gut instincts.
Odds are just odds and are never a sure thing.
GOOOOAAAL!!!!
Stars up 3-1 4 mins to play.
Odds are just odds and are never a sure thing.
GOOOOAAAL!!!!
Stars up 3-1 4 mins to play.