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Losing a million armies to 1 defending army

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 2:12 am
by Chiater
ok, I was playing a game and I could not get a country for the life of me.. The first round I couldn't get anything and then next round I had 6 armies vs 1 and I STILL lost everything and couldn't get a country. I was pretty pissed.. so, what is the most amount of armies you've lost to an "easy" prey?

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 2:15 am
by Derwiddle
Around 6 or 7 in recent games.


Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 2:19 am
by Tr0y
I lost like 8 guys against 1 dude today ( no joke ), I thought that was pretty ridiculous.


Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 2:23 am
by Chiater
Yeah, I guess I just took the laws of probability for granted... And yet these laws always get broken somehow. "Lisa! In this house we obey the laws of THERMODYNAMICS!"
..

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 2:38 am
by KoolBak
I have lost 11 to one...you would think I would stop - that's why I don't go to vegas!

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:42 am
by Marvaddin
These are signals the dice are bugged.

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:45 am
by Tr0y
Who knows (only Lack), could just be bad luck.
I wish Lack would just run a test and then posts some charts somewhere.

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:51 am
by Nobunaga
... the dice are not "bugged". Take a look at the web service that supplies the numbers - random.org It's pretty technical but it's not too hard to comprehend, and it convinced me.
... Atmospheric noise is used to set an entropy, which forms the basis of the random determination of values. This noise is in a constant state of flux, so there is no definable pattern.
... I watched a friend of mine lose 12 against 1. It WAS amazing to watch (and even more amazing that he kept rolling after he lost 5!), but it was random.

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:54 am
by SprCobra
continuos 5 and 6 doesnts eem random to me and its happenng to me non stop

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:57 am
by Marvaddin
This cannot be bad luck. The probability of 1 defender win against 3 attackers is 34% (0,34). The prob of win 10 3 X 1 rolls in sequence are 0,00002, or 0,002%. It should happen 1 time between 50000. Defender wins 5 rolls 3 X 1should happen 4 between 1000, but I believe its much more frequent.

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 3:10 pm
by fishfleas
you are right it is much more frequent. I frequently lose easy odds skirmishes. i've had full rounds where I didn't win a single roll and I rolled on every possible territory I could attack from. I also have lost 14 armies to his 1 lost army..... and I've had other times it happen almost that bad. It seems to be worse when the defense has 2 dice rolls... it seems that they roll higher. I know the odds are better then but that isn't exactly what I mean. I mean they tend to match or better your dice roll excessively too often when there are 2 defenders in a territory.

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 3:47 pm
by Romber
Wow, chiater your lucky. I make a thread about this issue and everyone flames me. Maybe they hate me or know I'm right
Anyway I agree. Once defender rolls a 6, they do 2-3 more times in a row.

Posted:
Tue Mar 14, 2006 7:52 pm
by Chiater
why did they flame you? because of stuff unrelated to this topic or related somehow?

Posted:
Thu Mar 16, 2006 2:49 pm
by lackattack
I changed the dice again. Read
The sticky dice are definitely back to find out more.

Posted:
Thu Mar 16, 2006 3:38 pm
by Romber
http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=616
Theres the topic I started. Everyone said I was wrong.
Now whos right??

Posted:
Thu Mar 16, 2006 4:00 pm
by lackattack
Actually, I still think you were wrong and that the dice were fine.

Posted:
Thu Mar 16, 2006 4:04 pm
by johnnyrotten

Posted:
Tue Mar 21, 2006 8:28 pm
by reverend_kyle
you guys are so unlucky.......game 9818

Posted:
Thu Mar 23, 2006 9:08 am
by CockAsian
Yeah, don't worry I've been havin' my fair share of unlucky rolls. Probablitlies my Asian @$$!!!
dice rolls

Posted:
Sat Mar 25, 2006 5:15 pm
by wacicha
just remember the dice are bad for everybody and here's a clue when i play around midnight t0 3 am i get better rolls then between 3pm to 9 pm and yet i keep playing both i walked into my sons office on wednesday and he's cussing his ass off yelling what the f--- i said playing your games he said yes i had 30 men to take out your f---ing 7 and lost why do you get so lucky and i told him the samething i tell all of you -- 1: we all have the same dice & 2: it's all in the wrist
just move

Posted:
Sat Mar 25, 2006 7:43 pm
by dragonfly
If youve got like, 20 on one country, and you are up against 2, and you attack and lose like, eight, just stop attacking, refresh your map or your browser, and start again. Ive done this and every time it starts being fair again. Just a theory

Posted:
Sat Mar 25, 2006 10:58 pm
by General Cornrow
I lost 13 once....8 on one country and 6 on another...all gone


Posted:
Sun Apr 02, 2006 8:13 pm
by zulu
all I can say is most of the time my dice stink lol
no matter how it is determined
zulu