Elijah S wrote:I'm sure this is only your imagination...
Afterall, Twill has gone to great lengths to demonstrate that CC dice are completely, indisputeably, totally, 100% random...
He even went to the extreme of showing several really pretty color graphs to demonstrate that every single complaint about CC dice is unfounded, and that, basically, anyone who complains about them is merely delusional...
So, there's really no sense in even posting this thread, because Twill, (who, incidentally, has a vested interest in CC's success) will merely refer to his pretty charts as a method of allaying any concern that the dice are streaky...
It worked on me! After viewing the charts I've been converted. Halleleuia!!!!
It feels so good to know that the six consecutive 6's rolled against me in a recent game were completely random! -Whew! What a weight off of my shoulders!
I am the one responsible for those charts, not Twill. I spent about 10-15 hours doing those stats
pro bono. As for credentials, I have 12 years experience as a mathematician, programmer, and data analyst, own my own business, and do contract work for an Australian emergency service, and am the head DBA contracter for one of the top 5 mining companies in Australia. I assure you that the professionalism and integrity that I apply to my clients I also applied here.
The stats were compiled from 500,000 lines of dice, and demonstrated distributive and streaky behaviour consistent with truly random dice. It is in fact possible to get 15 wins 3v2 in a row, so complaints about 6 losses 3v2 in a row are moot - that is hardly at the extreme of the distribution curve. The most abberant thing about the dice was the fact that the
attacker wins more often than they should, by a whopping 0.04%. The defenders dice are actually a tad
worse than expectation, 0.03% under expectation.
If you believe I have analysed the dice improperly, or that what I checked for was not what should have been checked for, please, feel free to tell me how I can improve the analysis to yield more informative results.