Conquer Club

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 2:13 pm**

EDIT: I saw some new reports and am completely changing my tone.
Apparently this is a real hurricane. It will be a "light" one as they go, but it is very large and slow. Low lying areas can expect to be flooded, plus winds. The flooding, not the winds are supposed to be the trouble.

ANYONE IMPACTED BY IRENE SHOULD BEWARE.. and expect worse this time around. My husband, here in WESTERN PA has been put on alert.. that has not happened in the 15 years I have lived here! (partly they have the new homeland security system, but still...). I hope what they are saying doesn't come to pass, but better prepared than not.

Quick list.. EXTRA water I gallon per person, per day.
at least 1 week medication,
3 days to one week of food
clean clothing
extra blankets
batteries, flashlights, fuel for portable stoves (but use only in a ventilated area!)
gas for your car.

I am hearing rumours that all of New Jersey has been told to evacuate this weekend. My husband has been getting calls from Harrisburg (The PA capitol) EMS officials all day.

is anybody worried? Evacuating? (be sure to get a sitter for any games... priorities, ya know

)

The predictions are for just 4-6 inches tommorrow (Monday the 29th of October). I am really puzzled as to why all the hoopla?

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 2:26 pm**

I don't get it either. Sensationalist media being sensationalist.

Anyway I'm on Long Island so I'm going to get hit by some rain. Too far from NYC to get a large part of it though (hopefully we don't lose power so I can watch football).

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 2:45 pm**

My flight to Philadelphia tomorrow cancelled - great!

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 4:26 pm**

Pander88uk wrote:My flight to Philadelphia tomorrow cancelled - great!

in any scenario in which your flight/ship/train/car to Philadelphia is cancelled, you're always the winner

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 6:55 pm**

is there an award for most awkward syntax ever? because player should get it for this thread. i understood what i read, but it made me cringe the whole time reading it.

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 7:07 pm**

Well...over 40 deaths so far and expected flooding / power outages, etc....hospital evacuation, subway closures. Sounds like a big deal to me.....

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 7:11 pm**

There have been evacuations along the shore in NJ. Specifically on the "Barrier Islands".
Low-lying areas warned of flood.
Winds anywhere up to 75mph.
NJT trains all cancelled.
MTA in NYC closed.
Estimates of up to a billion dollars in property damage expected.
Schools closed.
NJ officially in a "State of Emergency".

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 8:13 pm**

Some models have this thing slamming into Pittsburg. I don't think I've ever seen a hurricane take such a severe left turn this far up the atlantic. The biggest problem for NJ is that this is happening during a full moon so that tidal and hurricane pressures will combine forces. They are talking about significant flooding all up the Hudson as the two forces will cause the Hudson river to be unable to drain properly into the Atlantic. Given the fact that there are significant parts of NJ that tend to go "underwater" when any significant rainfall hits, the impact to that state can be devistating.

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 8:30 pm**

Stay safe people. Inappropriate jokes later.

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 9:08 pm**

saxitoxin wrote:
Pander88uk wrote:My flight to Philadelphia tomorrow cancelled - great!

in any scenario in which your flight/ship/train/car to Philadelphia is cancelled, you're always the winner

Snobs?

As far as the storm is concerned, I'll believe it when I see it.

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 9:10 pm**

What, like 10 foot ocean rise / tidal effect over flood stage expected? Crap....good luck East Coasters....we're thinkin of ya.....

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 9:16 pm**

saxitoxin wrote:
Pander88uk wrote:My flight to Philadelphia tomorrow cancelled - great!

in any scenario in which your flight/ship/train/car to Philadelphia is cancelled, you're always the winner

WOODRUFFFFFF! :evil:

Posted: **Sun Oct 28, 2012 10:22 pm**

Posted: **Mon Oct 29, 2012 1:13 am**

2dimes wrote:Stay safe people. Inappropriate jokes later.

oh come on, I encourage death jokes by my family as I'm sitting on the deathbed.

If we can't laugh at death then life sucks.

Posted: **Mon Oct 29, 2012 5:51 am**

Army of GOD wrote:
oh come on, I encourage death jokes by my family as I'm sitting on the deathbed.

If we can't laugh at death then life sucks.

Even if the water is only 3 feet deep you're in trouble? Yeah I've got nothing decent here yet.

Posted: **Mon Oct 29, 2012 3:00 pm**

The problem will not be the wind or the rain. The biggest concern is the storm surge, which will primarily affect coastal areas. From http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... ticle.html:

This morning's 9:30 am EDT H*Wind analysis from NOAA's Hurricane Research Division put the destructive potential of Sandy's winds at a modest 2.9 on a scale of 0 to 6. However, the destructive potential of the storm surge was record high: 5.8 on a scale of 0 to 6. This is a higher destructive potential than any hurricane observed since 1969, including Category 5 storms like Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Camille, and Andrew. The previous highest destructive potential for storm surge was 5.6 on a scale of 0 to 6, set during Hurricane Isabel of 2003. Sandy's storm surge will be capable of overtopping the flood walls in Manhattan, which are only five feet above mean sea level. On August 28, 2011, Tropical Storm Irene brought a storm surge of 4.13' and a storm tide of 9.5' above MLLW to Battery Park on the south side of Manhattan. The waters poured over the flood walls into Lower Manhattan, but came 8 - 12" shy of being able to flood the New York City subway system. According to the latest storm surge forecast for NYC from NHC, Sandy's storm surge is expected to be 10 - 12' above MLLW. Since a storm tide of 10.5' is needed to flood the subway system, it appears likely that portions of the NYC subway system will flood. The record highest storm tide at The Battery was 10.5', set on September 15, 1960, during Hurricane Donna.

Imagine NYC with a large portion of the subway system (especially in the Manhattan area) out of operation for 2 months. Now factor in that much of the electrical grid is underground in that area.

Inland areas will see some storm damage, downed power lines, and some flooding. But the primary damage will be in the New Jersey and NYC area.

Posted: **Mon Oct 29, 2012 5:34 pm**

I'm in the city right now and went out and snapped some pics. It's just awful.

snapped this pic from Governor's Island about 30 minutes ago

got this one outside the NY Public Library ... it was pretty crazy, people were jumping on top of pretzel carts and riding down the street

this guy was just walking down the street so I quickly snapped his pic

this family was at LaGuardia running to try to get a plane out of New York - I snapped their pic

this happened just like 10 minutes ago - CNN said France dropped a new head in the ocean, though ... with the currents it should be here in about 2 weeks

I ran out of space on my camera's memory card so I painted a quick watercolor. It's pretty bad out there, gang.

Posted: **Mon Oct 29, 2012 7:41 pm**

the only reported death so far is a middle-aged new york city man named david.

local authorities are investigating the tea party's role in the formation of this storm.

Posted: **Mon Oct 29, 2012 8:10 pm**

The real cause of the hurricane can be found on facebook ...

Posted: **Mon Oct 29, 2012 10:01 pm**

the day after tomorrow.....

Posted: **Mon Oct 29, 2012 11:28 pm**

I just whipped up another Yasi for you all and sent it packing your way... :lol:

JK

you are all being thought of as i watch the flooding and chaos on TV - take care please.

cairnswk

Posted: **Tue Oct 30, 2012 12:52 am**

Lost power around 9:15pm, hope it wan't be gone for a week like last time. At least I am on higher ground so I won't get flooded, I feel bad for the people close to the shore.

Posted: **Tue Oct 30, 2012 12:55 am**

How's that Internet treating you?

Posted: **Tue Oct 30, 2012 3:09 pm**

Lucky curl household still has power, unlike most of the town, and no trees through the roof unlike many neighbours. We don'rt have internet tho' - posting from the library. Expect me to be quiet for a coupla days.

Posted: **Tue Oct 30, 2012 3:35 pm**

BBS wrote:How's that Internet treating you?

Don't be unpatriotic, BBS.

Despite the heightened expectation of widespread power and cable television failures, everyone from the president to local newscasters seem to expect the public to rely entirely on the Internet for vital news and instructions.

A call to FEMA’s news desk, however, found even they didn’t have any non-Internet information readily available beyond suggestions that people call 911 in an emergency. When asked where folks should turn for information if they have no power, a FEMA worker said, “Well, those people who have a laptop with a little battery life on it can try that way.”

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/10 ... z2AogJB8Ea

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