mrswdk wrote:You do know that one of the first things that happens when you default on a debt is that all your 'real wealth' gets seized as collateral, right?
Yeah? Who's going to seize it? You think the Eurozone is going to send in troops to seize Greek property? Greek agricultural fields? Greek ports?
This isn't an individual where the police show up to kick the home borrower out of the bank''s house. What you are saying is that you think European troops (non Greek of course) will march into Greece and take what is owed?
Egypt seized the Suez canal from the British and when the British tried to take it back by force the US told them to GTFO. I am hopeful that it won't come to violence but if it does it still has the same effect, the breakup of the Eurozone. Not to mention is anyone going to stand for German troops marching into Greece in response to a debt? I don't think so.
Are the rest of the Europeans going to blockade Greece? To keep them from selling Greek products? Are the Europeans going to declare a ban on Greek tourism? Are European troops going to turn away Russian, Chinese, Japanese or any other tourists from visiting Greece? Are European troops going to march into Greek tourists spots and confiscate any funds they find?
For that matter, when the US defaulted in 1971 did anyone seize American assets?
Greece isn't near the powerhouse of the US, not even in the same league, but are people really willing to fight and kill and inflict even more misery to make sure that a central bank gets its money back? I would hope not. Are the Europeans really that petty? That stupid?
Maybe.
Greece will be a pariah for a while then it will get better. The wrong approach by the EU is going to show what the Eurozone really is, a totalitarian financial tyrant. Which is about all they are, its not like anyone is going to lay down their lives for the ECB. Its not like the ECB is really losing anything, they printed money out of thin air like every other central bank does. Currency is only valuable because a government holds a bayonet to people's backs. When the faith in the currency is gone no amount of prodding by bayonets is going to matter and only makes things worse.
f*ck the banks, they lent to someone they knew couldn't pay back the debt and they've used their power of the printing press to enact political goals. This is unacceptable. If you are a responsible lender, you don't lend money for political purposes. You lend based on cold hard facts, not fraud. If you are a lender and you keep lending money to people you
know can't pay you back then you will go bankrupt, rightfully so IMO. Especially if you lend to someone without collateral or no way of reasonably being able to collect that collateral.
The supposed "collateral" of the Greeks that the ECB used to leverage the loans were inflated asset prices which were pure bogus amounts anyway. Its fraud, its always been fraud and there is no way to collect any collateral unless violence is prepared to be used. I'm betting that said violence won't be resorted to because for no other reason than its bad for business.
Greece has already been looted for every ounce of gold they once possessed. The Greeks have already been looted for all the Greek islands and Greek property that can legally be sold (Greek government property). There is nothing left except to steal the food from the Greek citizen's mouths.
I don't know about you, but for my part I say "No way, the Greeks are done. Leave them alone now and let them get back on their feet." I have faith that the rest of the world will feel the same way for the most part and that the central banks can just go ahead and stew and eat their losses like they should. Like they are ultimately going to have to. Then the ECB can do this all over again with Spain, Portugal, France, Ireland and Italy.
You say that Greece should get what they deserve, they will. The ECB and the IMF should get what they deserve as well as they are just as guilty as the Greeks. Fraud is fraud and the day will come when bankers are hung from light posts if they push too hard.