notyou2 wrote:Mets, you were basically saying that agnostics are a total cop out as they are on the fence. Have you ever considered they are just non-committal due to the fact that they haven't had enough evidence either way to make up their minds? That is certainly how I was for about 15 years, say 14 to late 20's.
My point is more that agnosticism is not itself an interesting philosophical idea. I described in this thread that there is really only one statement to judge, mainly the statement "there is no higher power." The fact that this is an extreme proposition does not mean that one's
belief in it (or disbelief) has to be extremely confident. If I were to describe myself as 70% confident that there is no higher power, implying a 30% belief that there is one, most people would call me an atheist. What some people would call "strong" and "weak" atheism are really just ways of describing people who are closer to 100% or closer to 50% by those who are uninitiated in probability theory.
There are two possible ways to frame agnosticism. One is that agnosticism is just the uninteresting position where you ascribe equal probability to both hypotheses, where it might as well be a coin toss to you. So it is not that I have any problem with people who have that belief; what I have a problem with is people who think they have said something worth listening to when they claim they are agnostic in this way. Most of the the time, all it means to say "I am an agnostic" is "I have not thought about this issue hard enough to determine which proposition is more likely." And while that's totally fine, if that's the case, then just go talk about something other than religion, because you have basically just said "my opinion on this does not matter." So yeah, agnostics
are cop outs. But as you say, I don't necessarily mean that in a pejorative way, I just mean it in a strictly factual way.
A slightly more interesting version from the probabilistic point of view is the statement that we cannot actually judge the probability; instead of it being equally likely that the statement is true or false, all we know is that the answer is somewhere between 0 and 1, but we cannot possibly know where in that interval it lies. That would require its own post to deal with. But the punch line is that I think from a scientific point of view it's really stupid.