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The Night of the Long Knives

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The Night of the Long Knives

Postby Dukasaur on Sat Jun 24, 2023 2:16 pm

Vladimir Putin, the 21st Century equivalent of Adolf Hitler, is ready to purge the Wagner Group, his equivalent of Hitler's SA.

The Wagner Group and its leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, have been increasingly critical of Russia's high command. They seem worn out after a year-and-a-half of being used for every difficult task in Russia's illegal invasion of the Ukraine, while Russia's cowardly regular imperialist stormtroopers sit on their hands.

Prigozhin was long a bum-buddy to Putin, playing a happy Ernst Roehm to Putin's sourpuss Hitler act, but their relationship has soured since the invasion of Ukraine. Worried that the Wagner Group was getting too powerful, Putin and his cronies have increasingly cut Prigozhin off from supplies and reinforcements. Matters have recently come to a head, and now the WG stands accused of rebellion, which may or may not be true, given Moscow's traditional disregard for factual evidence.

While it seems impossible to be sympathetic to a criminal thug like Prigozhin, anyone who stands against the bloodthirsty whore Putin needs to be at least briefly applauded.

https://www.npr.org/2023/06/24/1184147525/putin-wagner-treason-rebellion#:~
Russian President Vladimir Putin condemned an uprising by the head of a pro-Kremlin mercenary force against his Defense Ministry as a "stab in the back" that risked undermining Russia's war effort in Ukraine.

"Those who organized this military uprising, who raised arms against their fellow military comrades will answer for it," Putin said in an address to the nation Saturday morning.

The Kremlin leader called on those participating in the rebellion to "make the only right choice: Stop taking part in this criminal activity."

While mentioning no names, Putin's address appeared squarely aimed at Wagner mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, who was formally charged with "inciting an armed revolt" by Russia's Federal Security Bureau early Saturday.

The criminal charge came as Prigozhin — in a remarkable series of posts to social media — accused the Russian military's top brass of carrying out lethal attacks on his soldiers and vowed to remove the Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu by force.

Prigozhin also claims his soldiers now control several military installations in Rostov-on-Don, a key southern Russian city that serves as a logistical base for the war effort in Ukraine.

In response, authorities have introduced "anti-terrorism operations" in the capital, Moscow, and in Rostov-on-Don to restore order.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby jusplay4fun on Sat Jun 24, 2023 2:22 pm

Yes, I was considering posting that story somewhere, so Duk gets credit for first posting that interesting development.

This story could be a game changer in the Illegal invasion of Ukraine by Russia, so this one is certainly worth watching.

Hey Duk, I thought you are on vacation..?? Is this what you do while on vacation?
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby GaryDenton on Sat Jun 24, 2023 4:06 pm

A coup and military operations where both sides are evil and bad.

Whomever should I root for?

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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby mookiemcgee on Sat Jun 24, 2023 4:28 pm

Dukasaur wrote:Vladimir Putin, the 21st Century equivalent of Adolf Hitler, is ready to purge the Wagner Group, his equivalent of Hitler's SA.

The Wagner Group and its leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, have been increasingly critical of Russia's high command. They seem worn out after a year-and-a-half of being used for every difficult task in Russia's illegal invasion of the Ukraine, while Russia's cowardly regular imperialist stormtroopers sit on their hands.

Prigozhin was long a bum-buddy to Putin, playing a happy Ernst Roehm to Putin's sourpuss Hitler act, but their relationship has soured since the invasion of Ukraine. Worried that the Wagner Group was getting too powerful, Putin and his cronies have increasingly cut Prigozhin off from supplies and reinforcements. Matters have recently come to a head, and now the WG stands accused of rebellion, which may or may not be true, given Moscow's traditional disregard for factual evidence.

While it seems impossible to be sympathetic to a criminal thug like Prigozhin, anyone who stands against the bloodthirsty whore Putin needs to be at least briefly applauded.

https://www.npr.org/2023/06/24/1184147525/putin-wagner-treason-rebellion#:~
Russian President Vladimir Putin condemned an uprising by the head of a pro-Kremlin mercenary force against his Defense Ministry as a "stab in the back" that risked undermining Russia's war effort in Ukraine.

"Those who organized this military uprising, who raised arms against their fellow military comrades will answer for it," Putin said in an address to the nation Saturday morning.

The Kremlin leader called on those participating in the rebellion to "make the only right choice: Stop taking part in this criminal activity."

While mentioning no names, Putin's address appeared squarely aimed at Wagner mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, who was formally charged with "inciting an armed revolt" by Russia's Federal Security Bureau early Saturday.

The criminal charge came as Prigozhin — in a remarkable series of posts to social media — accused the Russian military's top brass of carrying out lethal attacks on his soldiers and vowed to remove the Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu by force.

Prigozhin also claims his soldiers now control several military installations in Rostov-on-Don, a key southern Russian city that serves as a logistical base for the war effort in Ukraine.

In response, authorities have introduced "anti-terrorism operations" in the capital, Moscow, and in Rostov-on-Don to restore order.



This is just my own personal hot-take. Putin doesn't get along with, nor does he trust or approve of the generals running Russias military. He molded Prigozhin out of nothing, and the two are still the closest of friends and allies. Wagners 'success' over the last few years is ALL due to to Putin directing/helping Prigozhin to build it up to embarrass and undermine Russias traditional military. Prigozhin only started wagner at putins request, and with Putins instructions to go to prisons around the country and promise prisoners pardons/commutations of their sentence in exchange for fighting on the ground on the frontlines of the Ukraine conflict.

It's unclear what Putins full motives/endgame are, but personally I don't believe he and Prigozhin are 'at war' with each other in this 'rebellion' regardless of what he goes on TV and says.

It could be about cover/leverage to clear out any generals Putin doesn't like.
It could be about Wagner gaining control of a nuke, and setting it off near Ukraine so putin has cover from western blowback that it was 'insurgent rebels' and not Russia who did this.
I guess time will tell, but I am not buying this idea that Prigozhin is trying to overthrow a Putin run Russia. It's way more nuanced and cloak and dagger than that.

('hot take' means I expect most of you to disagree)
Last edited by mookiemcgee on Sat Jun 24, 2023 4:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby bigtoughralf on Sat Jun 24, 2023 4:33 pm

Dukasaur wrote:Vladimir Putin, the 21st Century equivalent of Adolf Hitler


lol

While it seems impossible to be sympathetic to a criminal thug like Prigozhin, anyone who stands against the bloodthirsty whore Putin needs to be at least briefly applauded.


I cba following it closely, so I'm not the best informed, but isn't all this happening because the Wagner Group want more resources from the Russian government so they can keep up their fight in Ukraine?

Cheering them on while they square up to Putin seems a bit like the CIA arming the Taleban because they wanted to piss off the USSR.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby saxitoxin on Sat Jun 24, 2023 6:53 pm

mookiemcgee wrote:
Dukasaur wrote:Vladimir Putin, the 21st Century equivalent of Adolf Hitler, is ready to purge the Wagner Group, his equivalent of Hitler's SA.

The Wagner Group and its leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, have been increasingly critical of Russia's high command. They seem worn out after a year-and-a-half of being used for every difficult task in Russia's illegal invasion of the Ukraine, while Russia's cowardly regular imperialist stormtroopers sit on their hands.

Prigozhin was long a bum-buddy to Putin, playing a happy Ernst Roehm to Putin's sourpuss Hitler act, but their relationship has soured since the invasion of Ukraine. Worried that the Wagner Group was getting too powerful, Putin and his cronies have increasingly cut Prigozhin off from supplies and reinforcements. Matters have recently come to a head, and now the WG stands accused of rebellion, which may or may not be true, given Moscow's traditional disregard for factual evidence.

While it seems impossible to be sympathetic to a criminal thug like Prigozhin, anyone who stands against the bloodthirsty whore Putin needs to be at least briefly applauded.

https://www.npr.org/2023/06/24/1184147525/putin-wagner-treason-rebellion#:~
Russian President Vladimir Putin condemned an uprising by the head of a pro-Kremlin mercenary force against his Defense Ministry as a "stab in the back" that risked undermining Russia's war effort in Ukraine.

"Those who organized this military uprising, who raised arms against their fellow military comrades will answer for it," Putin said in an address to the nation Saturday morning.

The Kremlin leader called on those participating in the rebellion to "make the only right choice: Stop taking part in this criminal activity."

While mentioning no names, Putin's address appeared squarely aimed at Wagner mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, who was formally charged with "inciting an armed revolt" by Russia's Federal Security Bureau early Saturday.

The criminal charge came as Prigozhin — in a remarkable series of posts to social media — accused the Russian military's top brass of carrying out lethal attacks on his soldiers and vowed to remove the Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu by force.

Prigozhin also claims his soldiers now control several military installations in Rostov-on-Don, a key southern Russian city that serves as a logistical base for the war effort in Ukraine.

In response, authorities have introduced "anti-terrorism operations" in the capital, Moscow, and in Rostov-on-Don to restore order.



This is just my own personal hot-take. Putin doesn't get along with, nor does he trust or approve of the generals running Russias military. He molded Prigozhin out of nothing, and the two are still the closest of friends and allies. Wagners 'success' over the last few years is ALL due to to Putin directing/helping Prigozhin to build it up to embarrass and undermine Russias traditional military. Prigozhin only started wagner at putins request, and with Putins instructions to go to prisons around the country and promise prisoners pardons/commutations of their sentence in exchange for fighting on the ground on the frontlines of the Ukraine conflict.

It's unclear what Putins full motives/endgame are, but personally I don't believe he and Prigozhin are 'at war' with each other in this 'rebellion' regardless of what he goes on TV and says.

It could be about cover/leverage to clear out any generals Putin doesn't like.
It could be about Wagner gaining control of a nuke, and setting it off near Ukraine so putin has cover from western blowback that it was 'insurgent rebels' and not Russia who did this.
I guess time will tell, but I am not buying this idea that Prigozhin is trying to overthrow a Putin run Russia. It's way more nuanced and cloak and dagger than that.


nailed it

President Putin wants to purge the general staff, maybe even Minister Shoygu himself. Despite the way the western media paints the Russian government as this Black/White cartoon villain where Putin is all-powerful and Russia his personal fiefdom, there are - like the U.S. - diverse and divergent political forces that must be balanced. The president can't simply clean house. Shoygu himself has been a minister (since 1994) longer than Putin has been in federal government (1999) and has myriad allies. But now, in the aftermath of a crisis laid at the footsteps of the generals, the president has a popular mandate to "send them to Tartarus" as they say and bring in a new, younger generation of leaders with fresh ideas.

('hot take' means I expect most of you to disagree)


surprise, bitch
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby saxitoxin on Sat Jun 24, 2023 7:04 pm

Behold, once again, the professional buffoonery of America's foreign policy elite ... solemnly and seriously analyzing the latest intel they got from ClownPenis69 on Reddit. (Taylor is the same guy who testified against Trump in his first impeachment using his credentials as a foreign policy expert with deep insider contacts and expertise in Russia and Ukraine.)

https://twitter.com/LucasFoxNews/status ... 1948696579
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby jusplay4fun on Sat Jun 24, 2023 10:13 pm

Russia says Wagner Group's leader will move to Belarus after his rebellious march challenged Putin

https://www.yahoo.com/news/russian-mercenary-chief-called-rebellion-051225518.html

The Associated Press
Sat, June 24, 2023 at 1:12 AM EDT
The greatest challenge to Russian President Vladimir Putin in his more than two decades in power fizzled out relatively peacefully Saturday after the rebellious mercenary commander who ordered his troops to march on Moscow abruptly reached a deal with the Kremlin to go into exile and sounded the retreat.

The dramatic if brief revolt shifted the landscape for the Kremlin and the 16-month-old war in Ukraine and prompted Russia to pull soldiers back from the battlefield to defend the capital, a stunning recognition of the threat posed by Wagner Group soldiers under the command of Yevgeny Prigozhin.

Under the deal announced by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, Prigozhin will go to neighboring Belarus and charges of mounting an armed rebellion will be dropped. The government said it also would not prosecute fighters who took part, while those who did not join in were to be offered contracts by the Defense Ministry.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby riskllama on Sun Jun 25, 2023 12:13 am

mook wins this thread, so far...
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby jusplay4fun on Sun Jun 25, 2023 5:49 am

WoW...another wonderful and perspicacious post by the llama. NOT. Why did I bother to read it? :roll:

I think I was hoping for something better. My hopes were crushed again by the llama. I guess llama wants to make an impact before he leaves CC.

I do agree that Mookie often makes good points in his posts.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby riskllama on Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:09 am

jusplay4fun wrote:WoW...another wonderful and perspicacious post by the llama. NOT. Why did I bother to read it? :roll:

I think I was hoping for something better. My hopes were crushed again by the llama. I guess llama wants to make an impact before he leaves CC.



lower your expectations then, you fucking idiot.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby Dukasaur on Sun Jun 25, 2023 9:45 am

jusplay4fun wrote:Yes, I was considering posting that story somewhere, so Duk gets credit for first posting that interesting development.

This story could be a game changer in the Illegal invasion of Ukraine by Russia, so this one is certainly worth watching.

Hey Duk, I thought you are on vacation..?? Is this what you do while on vacation?


Not leaving for another 56 hours. Working up to the end. Have to work a 12-hour night tonight, and then a 10-hour night on Monday night. Oh well, maybe by Tuesday evening when we take off, I'll be tired enough to sleep on the plane. Usually can't sleep on planes, but this might be the time.

bigtoughralf wrote:
Dukasaur wrote:Vladimir Putin, the 21st Century equivalent of Adolf Hitler


lol

While it seems impossible to be sympathetic to a criminal thug like Prigozhin, anyone who stands against the bloodthirsty whore Putin needs to be at least briefly applauded.


I cba following it closely, so I'm not the best informed, but isn't all this happening because the Wagner Group want more resources from the Russian government so they can keep up their fight in Ukraine?

Cheering them on while they square up to Putin seems a bit like the CIA arming the Taleban because they wanted to piss off the USSR.

Yes, it is a bit like that. These are the trade-offs you face in world politics. There are very few good guys. Usually one is faced with a choice between multiple assholes and you pick the least of many evils.

One is reminded of Churchill's line “If Hitler invaded Hell I would make at least a favourable reference to the Devil in the House of Commons.”

For full context, https://winstonchurchill.hillsdale.edu/alliance-stalin/
Churchill’s support for Stalin during the Second World War followed from a simple calculus of the lesser of two evils. Britain could only take on one evil empire at a time, and, of the two, Churchill believed that Nazi Germany posed the greater threat to liberty. He famously remarked, “If Hitler invaded Hell I would make at least a favourable reference to the Devil in the House of Commons.”2 McMeekin attempts to sidestep this harsh reality, writing: “Whether or not the payoff was worth the price is a question well worth debating.” Churchill’s alliance with the Soviets stands or falls on this question: was Nazi Germany or the Soviet Union the greater danger in 1939?

The greater evil
With hindsight, one can easily marshal facts that portray Soviet communism as the greater evil. According to the best available estimates, the Stalin regime killed 20 millions of its own citizens. Nearly six million of those deaths occurred during the 1932–33 famine brought about by Stalin’s collectivization policies.3 While Nazi Germany also killed 17 million civilians, most of those deaths occurred after Hitler’s invasion of the Soviet Union in 1941.4 Thus, on the eve of the Second World War, one could argue—as Chamberlain and the appeasers did—that Nazi Germany served as a useful bulwark against a greater danger: the Soviet Union.

This analysis, however, misses a crucial point—one that Churchill recognized. Until 1939, the horrors of the Soviet regime had been primarily restricted to its own borders, while Nazi Germany had already made its expansionist ambition clear. In 1938, Germany annexed Austria. Later that year, Germany seized the Sudetenland. In 1939, the rest of Czechoslovakia passed under Hitler’s control. The Nazi doctrine of Lebensraum dictated even greater expansion. By contrast, Stalin’s doctrine of “socialism in one country” had kept the Soviet Union relatively peaceful until the Second World War began.


GaryDenton wrote:A coup and military operations where both sides are evil and bad.

Whomever should I root for?

.

See above.

mookiemcgee wrote:It's unclear what Putins full motives/endgame are, but personally I don't believe he and Prigozhin are 'at war' with each other in this 'rebellion' regardless of what he goes on TV and says.

It could be about cover/leverage to clear out any generals Putin doesn't like.
It could be about Wagner gaining control of a nuke, and setting it off near Ukraine so putin has cover from western blowback that it was 'insurgent rebels' and not Russia who did this.
I guess time will tell, but I am not buying this idea that Prigozhin is trying to overthrow a Putin run Russia. It's way more nuanced and cloak and dagger than that.

You could be right. It's already looking like the "mutiny" was fake. For what end, time will tell.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby bigtoughralf on Sun Jun 25, 2023 11:24 am

Dukasaur wrote:Yes, it is a bit like that. These are the trade-offs you face in world politics. There are very few good guys. Usually one is faced with a choice between multiple assholes and you pick the least of many evils.


I suppose the moral dilemma you're referring to here is whether the Ukrainian government surrenders to Putin, essentially validating his illegal war, or accepts military support from the US and UK, who recently used that equipment to murder 500k+ Iraqis in their own illegal war. A rock and a hard place indeed!

Tell yourself what you like but if you choose to support criminals in their criminal enterprises, you are a criminal sympathiser. No one is compelling anyone on this forum or the governments of any of the countries we live in the pick sides in a war taking place thousands of miles from any of us.

The only people involved in this war who deserve any support or sympathy are the Ukrainian civilians and Russian conscripts being thrown into the meat grinder so that Putin, Biden and von der Leyen can drag out their pissing contest.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby saxitoxin on Sun Jun 25, 2023 12:34 pm

Dukasaur wrote:You could be right. It's already looking like the "mutiny" was fake. For what end, time will tell.


Putin and Prigozhin this week ...

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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby saxitoxin on Sun Jun 25, 2023 2:22 pm

1. Putin says if there are attacks on Crimea using US weapons he'll go after Uke leadership.

2. Ukes do it.

3. Putin moves nukes into Belarus and puts Belarus under the Russian strategic umbrella, insulating it from attack.

4. Using the feint of a coup, 25,000 Wagner troops suddenly move off the Eastern front resulting in the Ukes deploying all their reserves to take advantage of the opening.

5. The coup is peacefully resolved in 12 hours and the Wagners pivot and rapidly redeploy to southern Belarus, 70km north of now lightly defended Kiev.

Is something big gonna happen? TBD.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby jusplay4fun on Sun Jun 25, 2023 3:01 pm

saxitoxin wrote:1. Putin says if there are attacks on Crimea using US weapons he'll go after Uke leadership.

2. Ukes do it.

3. Putin moves nukes into Belarus and puts Belarus under the Russian strategic umbrella, insulating it from attack.

4. Using the feint of a coup, 25,000 Wagner troops suddenly move off the Eastern front resulting in the Ukes deploying all their reserves to take advantage of the opening.

5. The coup is peacefully resolved in 12 hours and the Wagners pivot and rapidly redeploy to southern Belarus, 70km north of now lightly defended Kiev.

Is something big gonna happen? TBD.


I think we heard this before. The Ukrainians put up one hell of a resistance, as I recall. Was it 14 months ago....?

And while Zelenskyy stayed in Kyiv, Putin RAN and hide, away from Moscow. hmm.....Can we say SCARED..??...

Vladimir Putin reportedly flees Moscow as Wagner forces advance in Russia
By Mary Kay Linge, Dana Kennedy and Steven Nelson
June 24, 2023 9:38am


https://nypost.com/2023/06/24/russian-forces-head-to-moscow-putin-vows-revenge-yevgeny-prigozhin/

Kremlin denies Putin has fled Moscow as Russia president’s plane ‘disappears’
Plane used by Russian president disappears from flight tracker after leaving Moscow

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/flight-radar-24-putin-moscow-b2363558.html
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby bigtoughralf on Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:18 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
Dukasaur wrote:You could be right. It's already looking like the "mutiny" was fake. For what end, time will tell.


Putin and Prigozhin this week ...



Does that show get better in season 3? I liked the first season but the second starts off with that try hard inspector guy joining the cast and I'm worried it's going to get lame really quickly.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby saxitoxin on Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:20 pm

jusplay4fun wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:1. Putin says if there are attacks on Crimea using US weapons he'll go after Uke leadership.

2. Ukes do it.

3. Putin moves nukes into Belarus and puts Belarus under the Russian strategic umbrella, insulating it from attack.

4. Using the feint of a coup, 25,000 Wagner troops suddenly move off the Eastern front resulting in the Ukes deploying all their reserves to take advantage of the opening.

5. The coup is peacefully resolved in 12 hours and the Wagners pivot and rapidly redeploy to southern Belarus, 70km north of now lightly defended Kiev.

Is something big gonna happen? TBD.


I think we heard this before. The Ukrainians put up one hell of a resistance, as I recall. Was it 14 months ago....?

And while Zelenskyy stayed in Kyiv, Putin RAN and hide, away from Moscow. hmm.....Can we say SCARED..??...

Vladimir Putin reportedly flees Moscow as Wagner forces advance in Russia
By Mary Kay Linge, Dana Kennedy and Steven Nelson
June 24, 2023 9:38am


https://nypost.com/2023/06/24/russian-forces-head-to-moscow-putin-vows-revenge-yevgeny-prigozhin/

Kremlin denies Putin has fled Moscow as Russia president’s plane ‘disappears’
Plane used by Russian president disappears from flight tracker after leaving Moscow

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/flight-radar-24-putin-moscow-b2363558.html


LOLWUT? I think you've been trapped in a time paradox on June 22. That was debunked yesterday. Keep up.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby saxitoxin on Sun Jun 25, 2023 6:24 pm

JP4 needs to bookmark this WP article to jumpstart his brain each time he falls for the latest U.S. government rumor about Putin.

Predictions of Vladimir Putin's death or incapacity

This is my favorite one:

    Later in 2015, reports circulated on social media that Putin had died, including some reports that Putin had died on purpose so he could distract public attention from domestic issues.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby saxitoxin on Tue Jun 27, 2023 8:42 pm

saxitoxin wrote:1. Putin says if there are attacks on Crimea using US weapons he'll go after Uke leadership.

2. Ukes do it.

3. Putin moves nukes into Belarus and puts Belarus under the Russian strategic umbrella, insulating it from attack.

4. Using the feint of a coup, 25,000 Wagner troops suddenly move off the Eastern front resulting in the Ukes deploying all their reserves to take advantage of the opening.

5. The coup is peacefully resolved in 12 hours and the Wagners pivot and rapidly redeploy to southern Belarus, 70km north of now lightly defended Kiev.

Is something big gonna happen? TBD.


So it appears Gen. Lord Richard Dannatt basically just gave an interview in which he summarized saxi's post as his theory (note the time difference, he did it after I posted it).

Do you think (a) Gen. Lord Richard Dannatt reads saxi's posts on Conquer Club, or, (b) saxi is Gen. Lord Richard Dannatt?

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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby jusplay4fun on Tue Jun 27, 2023 8:50 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:1. Putin says if there are attacks on Crimea using US weapons he'll go after Uke leadership.

2. Ukes do it.

3. Putin moves nukes into Belarus and puts Belarus under the Russian strategic umbrella, insulating it from attack.

4. Using the feint of a coup, 25,000 Wagner troops suddenly move off the Eastern front resulting in the Ukes deploying all their reserves to take advantage of the opening.

5. The coup is peacefully resolved in 12 hours and the Wagners pivot and rapidly redeploy to southern Belarus, 70km north of now lightly defended Kiev.

Is something big gonna happen? TBD.


So it appears Gen. Lord Richard Dannatt basically just gave an interview in which he summarized saxi's post as his theory (note the time difference, he did it after I posted it).

Do you think (a) Gen. Lord Richard Dannatt reads saxi's posts on Conquer Club, or, (b) saxi is Gen. Lord Richard Dannatt?



neither

saxi has to admit the these recent developments do not help pukin' putin.
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby saxitoxin on Wed Jun 28, 2023 1:17 pm

Biden just announced that Putin is "losing the war in Iraq." First he's losing the war in Ukraine, now Iraq? Poor guy can't get a break.

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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby bigtoughralf on Wed Jun 28, 2023 1:37 pm

God save the Queen!
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Re: The Night of the Long Knives

Postby mookiemcgee on Thu Jun 29, 2023 6:41 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
mookiemcgee wrote:
Dukasaur wrote:Vladimir Putin, the 21st Century equivalent of Adolf Hitler, is ready to purge the Wagner Group, his equivalent of Hitler's SA.

The Wagner Group and its leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, have been increasingly critical of Russia's high command. They seem worn out after a year-and-a-half of being used for every difficult task in Russia's illegal invasion of the Ukraine, while Russia's cowardly regular imperialist stormtroopers sit on their hands.

Prigozhin was long a bum-buddy to Putin, playing a happy Ernst Roehm to Putin's sourpuss Hitler act, but their relationship has soured since the invasion of Ukraine. Worried that the Wagner Group was getting too powerful, Putin and his cronies have increasingly cut Prigozhin off from supplies and reinforcements. Matters have recently come to a head, and now the WG stands accused of rebellion, which may or may not be true, given Moscow's traditional disregard for factual evidence.

While it seems impossible to be sympathetic to a criminal thug like Prigozhin, anyone who stands against the bloodthirsty whore Putin needs to be at least briefly applauded.

https://www.npr.org/2023/06/24/1184147525/putin-wagner-treason-rebellion#:~
Russian President Vladimir Putin condemned an uprising by the head of a pro-Kremlin mercenary force against his Defense Ministry as a "stab in the back" that risked undermining Russia's war effort in Ukraine.

"Those who organized this military uprising, who raised arms against their fellow military comrades will answer for it," Putin said in an address to the nation Saturday morning.

The Kremlin leader called on those participating in the rebellion to "make the only right choice: Stop taking part in this criminal activity."

While mentioning no names, Putin's address appeared squarely aimed at Wagner mercenary chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, who was formally charged with "inciting an armed revolt" by Russia's Federal Security Bureau early Saturday.

The criminal charge came as Prigozhin — in a remarkable series of posts to social media — accused the Russian military's top brass of carrying out lethal attacks on his soldiers and vowed to remove the Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu by force.

Prigozhin also claims his soldiers now control several military installations in Rostov-on-Don, a key southern Russian city that serves as a logistical base for the war effort in Ukraine.

In response, authorities have introduced "anti-terrorism operations" in the capital, Moscow, and in Rostov-on-Don to restore order.



This is just my own personal hot-take. Putin doesn't get along with, nor does he trust or approve of the generals running Russias military. He molded Prigozhin out of nothing, and the two are still the closest of friends and allies. Wagners 'success' over the last few years is ALL due to to Putin directing/helping Prigozhin to build it up to embarrass and undermine Russias traditional military. Prigozhin only started wagner at putins request, and with Putins instructions to go to prisons around the country and promise prisoners pardons/commutations of their sentence in exchange for fighting on the ground on the frontlines of the Ukraine conflict.

It's unclear what Putins full motives/endgame are, but personally I don't believe he and Prigozhin are 'at war' with each other in this 'rebellion' regardless of what he goes on TV and says.

It could be about cover/leverage to clear out any generals Putin doesn't like.
It could be about Wagner gaining control of a nuke, and setting it off near Ukraine so putin has cover from western blowback that it was 'insurgent rebels' and not Russia who did this.
I guess time will tell, but I am not buying this idea that Prigozhin is trying to overthrow a Putin run Russia. It's way more nuanced and cloak and dagger than that.


nailed it

President Putin wants to purge the general staff, maybe even Minister Shoygu himself. Despite the way the western media paints the Russian government as this Black/White cartoon villain where Putin is all-powerful and Russia his personal fiefdom, there are - like the U.S. - diverse and divergent political forces that must be balanced. The president can't simply clean house. Shoygu himself has been a minister (since 1994) longer than Putin has been in federal government (1999) and has myriad allies. But now, in the aftermath of a crisis laid at the footsteps of the generals, the president has a popular mandate to "send them to Tartarus" as they say and bring in a new, younger generation of leaders with fresh ideas.

('hot take' means I expect most of you to disagree)


surprise, bitch


This seems to be moving along much like was predicted...

https://www.businessinsider.com/russia- ... ion-2023-6

"Putin is freezing out and arresting people deemed to be traitors after the Wagner mutiny: reports"

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/ ... es-missing

"Russian general who may have known about Wagner mutiny goes missing"

The purge of unfriendly to Putin military officials begins...

https://inews.co.uk/news/world/wagner-g ... ow-2442458

"Mr Prigozhin has not been seen in public since the mutiny, but according to the BBC his private jet flew to Russia on Tuesday night, hours after Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko announced the mercenary leader had landed in Minsk.

Mr Prigozhin’s jet flew to his hometown of St Petersburg before heading to Moscow on Wednesday, the BBC said, citing flight tracking data."

idk, if i'd just been behind a real failed coup would I fly into the capital the next day from another country?
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