What are the odds [Answered]

Talk about all things related to Conquer Club

Moderator: Community Team

Forum rules
Please read the community guidelines before posting.
Locked
User avatar
The1exile
Posts: 7140
Joined: Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:01 pm
Location: Devastation
Contact:

What are the odds [Answered]

Post by The1exile »

What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?

Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.
Image
User avatar
gethine
Posts: 982
Joined: Tue Feb 13, 2007 1:55 pm
Gender: Male
Location: Wales

Post by gethine »

some days it seems about 50:50 :?
User avatar
nyg5680
Posts: 1343
Joined: Sun Jun 04, 2006 10:50 am
Location: united states

Post by nyg5680 »

and if u must shoot something shoot a can or yourself in the foot
User avatar
J-Duds
Posts: 22
Joined: Wed May 16, 2007 6:17 pm
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Contact:

Post by J-Duds »

I'm not sure what the odds are, but we seem to have the same luck. I've had 3 turns in a game and took out only 1 enemy army while using up every single attack I could make. Luckily its a triples game and not a terminator.
Image
User avatar
nyg5680
Posts: 1343
Joined: Sun Jun 04, 2006 10:50 am
Location: united states

Post by nyg5680 »

dont take any more turns 2day
User avatar
Cronus
Posts: 234
Joined: Tue May 01, 2007 10:21 pm
Location: A place where bunnies are not discriminated against for wearing pancakes on their heads.

Re: What are the odds

Post by Cronus »

The1exile wrote:What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?

Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.


against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent

Edit: whoops that number is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, square that number and you will get the probability os losing 20 men in a row or 10 rolls in a row
Last edited by Cronus on Sat Jun 23, 2007 12:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
chessplaya
Posts: 1875
Joined: Sat Jan 20, 2007 1:46 pm

Re: What are the odds

Post by chessplaya »

Cronus wrote:
The1exile wrote:What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?

Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.


against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent


ur avvy is so cool

i am quoting because its funny to quote ppl :lol:
Veni...
Vidi...
Vici...
ClessAlvein
Posts: 151
Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2007 9:30 pm

Post by ClessAlvein »

Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.
User avatar
Cronus
Posts: 234
Joined: Tue May 01, 2007 10:21 pm
Location: A place where bunnies are not discriminated against for wearing pancakes on their heads.

Post by Cronus »

ClessAlvein wrote:Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.


whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours

I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%
ClessAlvein
Posts: 151
Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2007 9:30 pm

Post by ClessAlvein »

Yarr fast edited
User avatar
Cronus
Posts: 234
Joined: Tue May 01, 2007 10:21 pm
Location: A place where bunnies are not discriminated against for wearing pancakes on their heads.

Re: What are the odds

Post by Cronus »

chessplaya wrote:
Cronus wrote:
The1exile wrote:What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?

Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.


against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent


ur avvy is so cool

i am quoting because its funny to quote ppl :lol:


do you like bunnies with pancakes on their heads?
User avatar
RobinJ
Posts: 1901
Joined: Mon Aug 21, 2006 1:56 pm
Location: Northern Ireland

Post by RobinJ »

Cronus wrote:
ClessAlvein wrote:Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.


whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours

I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%


Yes I believe that is right, although my calculator differs very slightly. You are using the Dice Analyzer figures I presume?
nmhunate wrote:Speak English... It is the language that God wrote the bible in.


Highest Score: 2437
Highest Place: 84
User avatar
Cronus
Posts: 234
Joined: Tue May 01, 2007 10:21 pm
Location: A place where bunnies are not discriminated against for wearing pancakes on their heads.

Post by Cronus »

RobinJ wrote:
Cronus wrote:
ClessAlvein wrote:Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.


whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours

I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%


Yes I believe that is right, although my calculator differs very slightly. You are using the Dice Analyzer figures I presume?


I am using a website
http://www.recreationalmath.com/risk/riskprob.htm
User avatar
The1exile
Posts: 7140
Joined: Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:01 pm
Location: Devastation
Contact:

Post by The1exile »

OK, so I'm not likely to get it again for another few months, thanks for the answers.
Image
Locked

Return to “Conquer Club Discussion”